Research / US Paid Search Economics 2023-2030

The price of attention is rising 3.3× faster than the economy

US search CPCs rose 28.4% between 2023 and 2026. Consumer prices rose 8.5%. Even after adjusting for inflation, the real cost of buying a search click increased by 18.3%.

Explore the evidence

CPC vs CPI (2023 = 100)

CPC CPI
202320242025202695105115125135

28.4%

US CPC increase, 2023-2026

8.5%

US consumer inflation, 2023-2026

$6.64

Projected average CPC, 2030

/ CORE FINDING

Paid search is experiencing its own inflation cycle

Between 2023 and 2026, the published average US Google Search CPC increased from $4.22 to $5.42. Over the same period, US consumer prices increased by 8.5%.

CPC inflation was therefore approximately 3.3 times consumer inflation. The size of the gap suggests that search advertising costs are being driven by factors within the advertising market, not simply by general price increases.

202320242025202695105115125135

8.7%

Annualised CPC growth

2.8%

Annualised consumer inflation

18.3%

Real CPC increase after inflation

21 of 23

Industries recorded higher CPCs

/ FLAT-BUDGET EXAMPLE

A flat search budget is a declining search budget

Comparing a hypothetical $1 million 2023 search budget under three scenarios:

BUDGET HELD FLAT

$1.000 million

2026 budget unchanged from 2023

BUDGET INCREASED WITH CPI

$1.085 million

Matched consumer price inflation

BUDGET TO MATCH CPC INFLATION

$1.284 million

Required to hold click volume steady

Even a budget increased in line with consumer inflation would purchase approximately 15.5% fewer clicks than it did in 2023.

/ INDUSTRY ANALYSIS

CPC inflation is broad-based, but highly uneven

21 of 23

Industries recorded higher CPCs

18 of 23

Increased faster than consumer inflation

~35%

Median industry CPC growth

31.0%

Equal-weight industry blend growth

SORT:
-65%0%65%130%195%Apparel / Fashion &JewelryReal EstatePersonal ServicesShopping, Collectibles& GiftsBeauty & Personal CareSports & RecreationCareer & EmploymentAnimals & PetsHealth & FitnessFurnitureAutomotive — Repair,Service &…Industrial &CommercialTravelHome & HomeImprovementPhysicians & SurgeonsDentists & DentalServicesEducation & InstructionAutomotive — For SaleBusiness ServicesAttorneys & LegalServicesRestaurants & FoodFinance & InsuranceArts & Entertainment

Showing 23 of 23 industries. Hover any bar for full CPC details.

/ FASTEST-RISING INDUSTRIES

Six categories where CPCs surged

186%

Apparel / Fashion & Jewelry

2023-2026 CPC GROWTH

108%

Real Estate

2023-2026 CPC GROWTH

84%

Personal Services

2023-2026 CPC GROWTH

70%

Shopping, Collectibles & Gifts

2023-2026 CPC GROWTH

60%

Beauty & Personal Care

2023-2026 CPC GROWTH

56%

Sports & Recreation

2023-2026 CPC GROWTH

A single cross-industry inflation assumption is likely to produce misleading media plans. Businesses in rapidly repricing categories may need to revisit budgets and acquisition targets several times per year.

/ RECENT MARKET CHANGE

CPC inflation is slowing, but pressure is becoming more concentrated

ANNUAL AVERAGE CPC GROWTH

2023-202410.4%
2024-202512.9%
2025-20263.0%

LARGEST 2025-2026 INCREASES

Real Estate27.3%
Personal Services23.4%
Health & Fitness23.4%
Shopping, Collectibles & Gifts18.6%
Attorneys & Legal Services15.0%
Career & Employment12.6%

The market may be moving from broad CPC inflation to category-specific repricing. The overall average is moderating, but competition remains intense in several high-value sectors.

/ FORECAST THROUGH 2030

Where could the average search CPC reach by 2030?

20232024202520262027202820292030$3.8$4.8$5.7$6.7$7.6

CENTRAL 2030 ESTIMATE

$6.64

This would be approximately 23% above 2026 and 57% above 2023.

Lower pressure

3.5% annual growth

Central forecast

Growth moderates from 5.8% to 4.6%

High pressure

The historical 8.7% annualised rate continues

/ IMPLICATIONS

Paid-search productivity must improve just to stand still

01

Separate media inflation from general inflation

Report CPC movements independently of CPI to reveal the true cost trend in your channel, not the headline economy.

02

Plan using industry-specific benchmarks

Your category reprices at its own rate. A single cross-industry inflation assumption will mislead budgets and acquisition targets.

03

Connect CPC movements to conversion and customer economics

A rising CPC only erodes margin if conversion and customer lifetime value do not keep pace. Track the full equation.

04

Build efficiency improvements into annual media plans

Treat efficiency gains as a budgeted input each year, not a one-off optimisation discovered after costs have risen.

The marketing challenge is no longer simply buying more traffic. It is improving conversion and customer value faster than the auction becomes more expensive.

/ METHODOLOGY & SOURCES

How this research was built

Read the full methodology
  • US Google Search CPC benchmark data sourced from WordStream and LocaliQ industry reports, 2023-2026.
  • US Consumer Price Index data sourced from the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics.
  • Each index rebased to 100 in 2023 to enable direct like-for-like comparison.
  • The equal-weight industry blend gives every industry the same weight regardless of spend volume.
  • Forecasts are directional scenarios exploring plausible growth paths, not precise predictions.
  • The 2026 CPI figure uses available 2026 data rather than a completed full calendar year.

/ CONSULTATION

What does CPC inflation mean for your acquisition strategy?

I help marketing teams understand what is driving performance, identify where efficiency is being lost and turn complex media data into practical decisions.